List of Contributors vii Preface ix Acknowledgements xv Part I Fundamental Ideas, Principles and Approaches 1 1 Risk Assessment with Broad Uncertainty and Knowledge Characterisation: An Illustrating Case Study 3; Terje Aven and Roger Flage 2 The Enigma of Knowledge in the Risk Field 27; Terje Aven and Marja Ylönen 3 Treatment and Communication of Uncertain Assumptions in (Semi?]) quantitative Risk Assessments 49; Roger Flage and Christine L.

Berner 4 Critical Slowing?]down Framework for Monitoring Early Warning Signs of Surprise and Unforeseen Events 81; Ivan Damnjanovic and Terje Aven 5 Improving the Foundation and Practice of Uncertainty Analysis: Strengthening Links to Knowledge and Risk 103; Terje Aven 6 Completeness Uncertainty: Conceptual Clarification and Treatment 127; Torbjørn Bjerga, Terje Aven, and Roger Flage 7 Quality of Risk Assessment: Definition and Verification 143; Terje Aven and Enrico Zio 8 Knowledge?]driven System Simulation for Scenario Analysis in Risk Assessment 165; Pietro Turati, Nicola Pedroni,

And Enrico Zio Part II Risk Assessment and Decision Making 221 9 A Decision Support Method for Prioritizing Investments Subject to Uncertainties 223; Shital Thekdi and Terje Aven 10 Risk Analysis under Structural Uncertainty 241; Sven Ove Hansson Part III Applications 265 11 A Practical Approach to Risk Assessments from Design to Operation of Offshore Oil and Gas Installations 267; Vegard L. Tuft, Beate R. Wagnild, and Olga M. Slyngstad 12 A Semi?]quantitative Approach for Assessment of Risk Trends in the Norwegian Oil and Gas Industry 297; Eirik Bjorheim Abrahamsen, Jon Tømmerås Selvik, Bjørnar Heide, and Jan Erik Vinnem 13 Knowledge Engineering at a Risk?]informed Regulatory Agency: Challenges and Suggestions 313; Nathan Siu and Kevin Coyne Index 339.